Monday, January 17, 2011

Early voting update: Nevada, no enthusiasm gap

We have 5 days of early voting in Nevada, more than 82,000 ballots are banked. So it's time to update our earlier tracking that showed no voter fatigue in either party. First, the registration update for Sept. yielded a "huge spike" of 14,700 voters added, double the number in Aug. The breakout shows: 5061 D, 4026 R and 4040 I.

Now to the early voting. Nevada's 2 largest counties report turnout by registered affiliation. From Clark (pdf) and Washoe together, since Saturday 37,107 registered Dems have voted and 33,471 registered Republicans. And 12,366 non-partisans. Translating to: 45% D, 40% R, 15% I.

We don't know how they've voted, of course. But the turnout lines up with each group's registration ratio. Again, Nevada is not being swung by a turnout gap.

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